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• Ruin Is a Result, Not an Exception

  November 6, 2026 · python keeks risk-management

  If your simulation can end early, the ending is part of what it returns. Where to raise, where to catch, and why the difference decides what you can analyse.

• What a Strategy Needs to Be Told About a Settled Bet

  November 4, 2026 · python keeks risk-management

  A staking strategy that cannot see outcomes is static whatever the class is called. The callback that fixes that has three decisions worth making deliberately.

• What Fractional Kelly Actually Buys You

  November 2, 2026 · python keeks kelly-criterion

  Betting half of Kelly costs about a quarter of your growth. Betting double Kelly costs all of it. The curve is symmetric and the risk is not.

• Nine Bankroll Strategies Under Four Kinds of Stress

  October 30, 2026 · python keeks kelly-criterion

  keeks v0.6.0 ships a deterministic risk benchmark. Nine staking strategies, four ways to make life hard, and the one that matters most.

• When the Fee Eats the Edge

  October 28, 2026 · python keeks kelly-criterion

  A flat fee does not scale with your bet, and Kelly sizes small when the edge is thin. The interaction costs more than either of them looks like it should.

• Alloy Composition Optimization: Multi-Objective Materials Design

  October 26, 2026 · machine-learning optimization parga

  Using genetic algorithms to optimize alloy compositions for multiple properties simultaneously, balancing strength, hardness, density, and corrosion resistance.

• Rocket Motor Optimization: Designing Thrust Profiles

  October 23, 2026 · machine-learning optimization parga

  Using genetic algorithms to optimize solid rocket motor grain geometry for target thrust profiles, where physics simulations replace analytical gradients.

• Twelve Rating Systems, Walked Forward Through Eight Seasons

  October 21, 2026 · python elote rating-systems

  Do rating systems built for college football beat ones built for chess at predicting college football? Six thousand games, one week at a time.

• HP Lattice Folding: Simplified Protein Structure Prediction

  October 19, 2026 · machine-learning optimization parga

  Using genetic algorithms to fold proteins on a lattice model, where the goal is to maximize hydrophobic contacts in a discrete search space.

• Scoring a Three-Outcome Predictor

  October 16, 2026 · python elote rating-systems

  A rating system gives you one number, and a draw is a third outcome that number cannot express. What that does to your accuracy, measured on 40,000 chess games.