Betting
13 posts
Bankroll Management with Keeks: Strategy Comparison
A head-to-head comparison of Kelly, Fractional Kelly, OptimalF, Fixed Fraction, CPPI, and other bankroll strategies. Know which one fits your needs.
Bankroll Management with Keeks: The Naive Strategy
Flat betting with a fixed dollar amount regardless of bankroll. A simple baseline strategy that surprisingly many bettors still use.
Bankroll Management with Keeks: Dynamic Strategies
Dynamic Bankroll Management adapts bet sizing based on recent performance, volatility, and changing conditions. Learn the flexible approach with Keeks.
Bankroll Management with Keeks: CPPI
CPPI protects a floor value of your bankroll while betting a multiple of your cushion above it. Learn how to implement portfolio insurance with Keeks.
Bankroll Management with Keeks: Fixed Fraction
The Fixed Fraction strategy bets a constant percentage of your bankroll on each wager. Learn when this simple approach beats more complex methods.
Bankroll Management with Keeks: OptimalF
Ralph Vince's OptimalF maximizes geometric growth based on your trading history. Learn how it differs from Kelly and how to use it with Keeks.
Bankroll Management with Keeks: Drawdown-Adjusted Kelly
Drawdown-Adjusted Kelly dynamically reduces bet sizes during losing streaks to protect your bankroll. See how to implement it with Keeks.
Bankroll Management with Keeks: Fractional Kelly
Fractional Kelly betting trades some theoretical growth for reduced volatility. Learn how to implement Half Kelly and Quarter Kelly with Keeks.
Bet A Day: An App for Practicing Decisions Under Uncertainty
I built an iOS app to practice making decisions under uncertainty and reflecting on them, using the stock market as a source of randomness.
Resulting: Why Good Decisions Sometimes Look Bad
How judging decisions by their outcomes creates perverse incentives in organizations and why we struggle to separate luck from skill.