https://mcginniscommawill.com/tags/keeks-elote/ Recent content in Keeks-Elote on McGinnis, Will Hugo en-us Wed, 11 Nov 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://mcginniscommawill.com/posts/2026-11-11-american-odds-and-the-vig/ Wed, 11 Nov 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://mcginniscommawill.com/posts/2026-11-11-american-odds-and-the-vig/ <p>A rating system gives you a probability. A sportsbook gives you a price. Comparing them requires putting both in the same units, and the units the book publishes are designed for quoting rather than for arithmetic.</p> <p><a href="https://github.com/wdm0006/keeks-elote">keeks-elote</a> does the conversion so a staking strategy can see an edge. It is worth walking through it, because the step where most of the edge disappears is the one that looks like bookkeeping.</p> https://mcginniscommawill.com/posts/2026-11-09-introducing-keeks-elote/ Mon, 09 Nov 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://mcginniscommawill.com/posts/2026-11-09-introducing-keeks-elote/ <p>I maintain two libraries that were always going to have to meet. <a href="https://github.com/wdm0006/elote">elote</a> rates competitors and turns ratings into probabilities. <a href="https://github.com/wdm0006/keeks">keeks</a> turns probabilities and prices into stakes. Between them is a gap that everyone who has tried this fills with a script.</p> <p><a href="https://github.com/wdm0006/keeks-elote">keeks-elote</a> is that script, made into something you can install, with its ordering guarantees written down.</p>